League One, 2022/23
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- Dave Sutton's barnet
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Please do, mate (or rather thank you for doing so). Good to have reading material and the BN site will be glad of the traffic.knobpolisher wrote: ↑Mon Mar 20, 2023 2:18 pmThe Bolton (evening) news have published an article on the remaining fixtures or all those in the hunt.
Interesting reading , Derby looks difficult whereas ours look the most favourable of the lot.
Am I allowed to post a link ? If so here it is with acknowledgement to the Bolton news website.
https://www.theboltonnews.co.uk/sport/23398059.amp/
Couple of years ago I did a run-in spreadsheet. Am thinking of doing similar after Wembley, depending how it shakes up.
Derby are making some "simple" games look difficult at the moment - although TBF before Saturday they'd only lost to Plymouth, Barnsley and Wycombe. They may come again - Ipswich have - but hopefully not....
- BWFC_Insane
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Next Saturday is Peterborough v Derby. Who do we want to win that? Derby for me.Dave Sutton's barnet wrote: ↑Mon Mar 20, 2023 3:38 pmPlease do, mate (or rather thank you for doing so). Good to have reading material and the BN site will be glad of the traffic.knobpolisher wrote: ↑Mon Mar 20, 2023 2:18 pmThe Bolton (evening) news have published an article on the remaining fixtures or all those in the hunt.
Interesting reading , Derby looks difficult whereas ours look the most favourable of the lot.
Am I allowed to post a link ? If so here it is with acknowledgement to the Bolton news website.
https://www.theboltonnews.co.uk/sport/23398059.amp/
Couple of years ago I did a run-in spreadsheet. Am thinking of doing similar after Wembley, depending how it shakes up.
Derby are making some "simple" games look difficult at the moment - although TBF before Saturday they'd only lost to Plymouth, Barnsley and Wycombe. They may come again - Ipswich have - but hopefully not....
The bottom line for me now is we're at best going to finish 5th and therefore there is little advantage in 5th or 6th.....indeed if Plymouth did drop out into 3rd they might be the best bet...Ipswich or Barnsley on their form...not likely.
So we need Derby to win that if at all possible.
Draw would be ok.
Its not the end of the world if Peterborough win but I rather think that just drives up the points total a little.
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Point apiece and eight red cards.BWFC_Insane wrote: ↑Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:01 pmNext Saturday is Peterborough v Derby. Who do we want to win that?
- brommers95
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Dave Sutton's barnet wrote: ↑Mon Mar 20, 2023 3:38 pmPlease do, mate (or rather thank you for doing so). Good to have reading material and the BN site will be glad of the traffic.knobpolisher wrote: ↑Mon Mar 20, 2023 2:18 pmThe Bolton (evening) news have published an article on the remaining fixtures or all those in the hunt.
Interesting reading , Derby looks difficult whereas ours look the most favourable of the lot.
Am I allowed to post a link ? If so here it is with acknowledgement to the Bolton news website.
https://www.theboltonnews.co.uk/sport/23398059.amp/
Couple of years ago I did a run-in spreadsheet. Am thinking of doing similar after Wembley, depending how it shakes up.
Derby are making some "simple" games look difficult at the moment - although TBF before Saturday they'd only lost to Plymouth, Barnsley and Wycombe. They may come again - Ipswich have - but hopefully not....
Cheers DSB for reminding me that I made a run-in spreadsheet a few weeks ago so I opened it up and decided to turn it into the below (probably best to click on the tweet to see the picture more clearly on Twitter)
Plymouth with (at this point in time) the 'easiest' run-in, facing teams with a current average position of 16.89. Wanderers (the real ones) rather encouragingly have the second easiest, facing teams with an average position of 16.38.
The pretend Wanderers and Pompey rather worryingly though also have quite favourable run-ins.
If Salop sneak into the playoffs they'll have earned it, with the 'hardest' run in facing teams with an average current league position of 7.67.
I've also slightly amended the graphic to the below, which depicts games against relegation threatened teams (mid blue) as harder than those against mid-table 'on the beach teams' (light blue), as anecdotally at least, it seems that those down the bottom always seem to pull a few surprise results out the bag when fighting to stay up.
*Disclaimer figures/fixture details may not be 100% accurate.
Re: League One, 2022/23
Barnsley v Sheff Wed now on Sky
Already 2-0 after less than 15 mins
Very poor defending from Wednesday
Already 2-0 after less than 15 mins
Very poor defending from Wednesday
What goes around may still come around
- knobpolisher
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Regarding Brommers analysis above , it's also in our interests that the top 4 stay bunched up tight until the very end of season. If push comes to shove in the final match we may need Sheffield Wed to beat Derby and Barnsley to beat Peterborough
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Re: League One, 2022/23
And Sheffield Wed pull one back
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- Worthy4England
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Bizarrely, when I ran the top 8 sides through what I thought was likely results to the end of the season, (which didn't include Pompey at the time), it was Pompey that the "big online spreadsheet" had coming in as 6th...brommers95 wrote: ↑Tue Mar 21, 2023 7:59 pmThe pretend Wanderers and Pompey rather worryingly though also have quite favourable run-ins.
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Re: League One, 2022/23
And Sheffield Wed equalise
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Barnsley got a third
And a 4th
Last edited by bw@bw on Tue Mar 21, 2023 9:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
What goes around may still come around
- Harry Genshaw
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Amazing runs that both teams are on. Barnsley haven't looked back since we beat em! They've got to fancy nicking an automatic place now
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- officer_dibble
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Re: League One, 2022/23
Plymouth haven’t had much of a stutter, and Ipswich are flying!
It’s 3 from them 4, surely…
It’s 3 from them 4, surely…
- Harry Genshaw
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Re: League One, 2022/23
It's a fascinating promotion race. A couple of months back Derby were flying, Ipswich were stuttering and Barnsley were nowhere. I imagine some Wednesday fans will be getting jittery at their dropped points these last two matches.
It's a high bar and I'm not sure we're up to the standards that are being set yet. Great that we're still in the mix though.
It's a high bar and I'm not sure we're up to the standards that are being set yet. Great that we're still in the mix though.
"Get your feet off the furniture you Oxbridge tw*t. You're not on a feckin punt now you know"
Re: League One, 2022/23
The Luca Connell thing still rankles with me. He's the only good player we've produced in ages, and he's now helping a direct rival push for promotion. Frigging annoying.
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Re: League One, 2022/23
He's a very good, technical player and he's tough, too.
I'd have him back in a heartbeat
I'd have him back in a heartbeat
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Re: League One, 2022/23
He forced/wanted the move.
Don't forget that. Plenty could have stayed and weathered the storm, but most chose not too. They shall be put in the same pile as the rest. Feck em.
Re: League One, 2022/23
Yeah I know, and I don't blame him at all because we had awful ownership and were in a terrible situation at the time. Doesn't stop it being annoying.
- BWFC_Insane
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Re: League One, 2022/23
He was a kid - I don't blame him . But lets put into perspective. He went to Celtic after a few games - didn't make the grade there and is now back in league one.
Decent league one player though.
Re: League One, 2022/23
Celtic didn't seem to give him much of a chance, but it's a big club anyway so not much shame in not making the grade there. At 21 he's definitely a Championship calibre player, and is probably now worth 5x what we sold him for.BWFC_Insane wrote: ↑Wed Mar 22, 2023 11:45 amHe was a kid - I don't blame him . But lets put into perspective. He went to Celtic after a few games - didn't make the grade there and is now back in league one.
Decent league one player though.
The situation was what it was, but given our poor track record of producing/retaining talent, stuff like this does annoy me. Probably doubly so because we don't appear to have any decent youth prospects on our books these days.
Re: League One, 2022/23
We're up to 5th as things stand right now.
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