League One, 2022/23

[Dave Sutton's barnet]

Screenshot 2023-04-19 at 19.52.24.png (62.24 KiB) Viewed 769 times

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Sorry yeah, my bad - I've amended the screenshot (and reposted here on new page). Last day is Wycombe-Pompey not Pompey-Wycombe. Both will probably be out of contention by then but you never know with this promotion chase, which has often resembled that Monty Python sketch about the 100m for people with no sense of direction.

[Dave Sutton's barnet]

I think 6 or 7 points has a decent chance (not guaranteed but nothing is) of being sufficient. If Peterborough beat Ipswich then I guess that might be a bit low but still.

Win the three home games and I think we can go to Bristol Rovers and experiment a bit. We can but dream….

Yeah. I can very feasibly see a world where Posh lose to Ipswich and we win our next two, including the midweek game in hand; with two rounds left that would put us on 78pts (mathematically guaranteed clear of Wycombe & Pompey), Posh on 73 and Derby on 72 plus whatever they get against Burton. So we'd only need 2pts from our last two games to finish above Posh and make the playoffs (albeit perhaps in 6th if Derby find their feet).

All ifs, but it comes down to the truth that it's in our hands. I'm just saying it's so much in our own hands that we might be relatively "there" with two wins. Like you said

[Mar]

Screenshot 2023-04-19 at 19.52.24.png
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Sorry yeah, my bad - I've amended the screenshot (and reposted here on new page). Last day is Wycombe-Pompey not Pompey-Wycombe. Both will probably be out of contention by then but you never know with this promotion chase, which has often resembled that Monty Python sketch about the 100m for people with no sense of direction.

Peterborough lose to Ipswich and Wycombe beat Derby should leave Wycombe and Portsmouth's last match likely to have something riding on it. All depends on our results and the Peterborough v Bristol Rovers result. In theory they've still got an outside chance, even though its very much an outside chance.

[Dave Sutton's barnet]

Peterborough not just losing to Ipswich but sinking 3-0 could help us. They're now five goals as well as two points behind us. Derby are a worry - same points, only 2 worse on goal difference – but that heavy defeat does make Posh's job a lot harder.

[Prufrock]

Let's just hope we don't need to go to Bristol Rovers on the last day and not concede 7!

[Dave Sutton's barnet]

Let's just hope we don't need to go to Bristol Rovers on the last day and not concede 7!

[Dave Sutton's barnet]

Update on remaining fixtures. I've excised Pompey and Wycombe, who now can't catch us, and I've lobbed in the top four – partly for giggles as someone's gonna be well narked not to go straight up, but also to examine who we might face if we make the playoffs...
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I'd expect Plymouth to have too much at home for Brizzle and Burton, so they look good for the title. Ipswich have a difficult midweek trip to Barnsley but they seem to have dealt well with going to Posh today. That makes it bleak for Sheff Wednesday, who have to go to buggardly Shrewsbury – and then host a Derby side who will probably be fighting for their play-off lives. Add in that the same two clubs might face each other in those play-offs, and that they also had what amounted to a last-day relegation play-off almost precisely two years before, and it's quite the tense affair.