Stats
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- TonyDomingos
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Re: Stats
Dave Sutton's barnet wrote: ↑Sat Feb 19, 2022 9:19 pmA good win for us today, but also wins for 5 of the 7 teams directly above us (3rd down).
Extrapolating the recent form tables (last 6, 8, 10 and 12 games) over the rest of the season, only in the scenario mimicking our last 8 games (ie W6 D1 L1) will we sneak into the playoffs, although last-10 form would take us agonisingly close.
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Screenshot 2022-02-19 at 21.09.55.png
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Worth remembering that Wednesday and Plymouth (plus Pompey) have to come to our place yet, and even our two trips to top-10 teams – Wigan and McDons – seem curiously set up for Wanderers. True, we could arguably do without facing Wigan, but in a weird way we have little to lose after the 0-4 at ours, and they're likely to come at us, which might give us a chance to get at them. Evatt is already looking forward to playing expansive MK Dons on their big pitch. The other four trips are to the bottom three plus Cheltenham. I think we can dream a while yet, so have a good Saturday night.
A statistician will tell you that last eight is the most reliable forecast. Fact.
Às armas, às armas!
Sobre a terra, sobre o mar,
Às armas, às armas!
Pela Pátria lutar!
Contra os canhões marchar, marchar!
Sobre a terra, sobre o mar,
Às armas, às armas!
Pela Pátria lutar!
Contra os canhões marchar, marchar!
- Worthy4England
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Re: Stats
Just had a quick peek at the L2 table from this day, last year - we were a lot closer on points to the team above the dots being only 3 behind and 6 from the automatics. We had, however, played a few games more than most, on 29.
Cambridge, who ended up one point in front of us, were at this stage 11 points in front of us having played a game more.
Cambridge, who ended up one point in front of us, were at this stage 11 points in front of us having played a game more.
- GhostoftheBok
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Re: Stats
One fewer spot to get into as well.
However, we're still obviously going up
However, we're still obviously going up
- Worthy4England
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Re: Stats
8th March we were below the dots - 15th we were just above in 7th. There's a way to go yet!GhostoftheBok wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:15 amOne fewer spot to get into as well.
However, we're still obviously going up
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Re: Stats
Didn't we also finish 6 points clear of the lowest-placed play-off side?Worthy4England wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:35 am8th March we were below the dots - 15th we were just above in 7th. There's a way to go yet!
We can afford to be slightly off that pace this year.
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Re: Stats
I'm testing my memory, but I thought I recalled a couple of weekends/game days last season, where pretty much everyone above and around us did us a favour. Not quite a sure we'll get the same courtesy as last year. And of course, we still have tough aways coming up at MKD and Pies. I think anyone else above us, we have at home.GhostoftheBok wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:38 amDidn't we also finish 6 points clear of the lowest-placed play-off side?Worthy4England wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:35 am8th March we were below the dots - 15th we were just above in 7th. There's a way to go yet!
We can afford to be slightly off that pace this year.
Just looking at it again though, we've all played a few more games vs this time last year - most teams including us at the 32/33 mark.
- BWFC_Insane
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Re: Stats
According to twitter win % with Gethin Jones playing is 61.
Win % without is 14.
Most important player? I think it speaks for itself.
I genuinely think he’s our best defender. And clearly we struggle without him massively.
Win % without is 14.
Most important player? I think it speaks for itself.
I genuinely think he’s our best defender. And clearly we struggle without him massively.
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Re: Stats
According to me on Twitter (hat tip to Flanners, we were discussing it on the way back from Oxford). His win percentage will also be higher now, that was before Wimbledon.BWFC_Insane wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:53 amAccording to twitter win % with Gethin Jones playing is 61.
Win % without is 14.
Most important player? I think it speaks for itself.
I genuinely think he’s our best defender. And clearly we struggle without him massively.
Also the two wins without him were home to Crewe and Donny.
Correlation isn’t always causation but we look a lot happier with him in the team. I still worry we can be bullied aerially (not that we weren’t at Burton without him) but overall we are a much more fluid team with Geth.
- Worthy4England
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Re: Stats
What's Charles and Morley's win %....I'd be surprised if they weren't both above 61%. (Bearing in mind Charles didn't come on until the end at Burton)....
Edit: Not a pop at Jones
Edit: Not a pop at Jones
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Re: Stats
Soccerbase will quickly work them out for you via Player Filter (you can toggle sub apps on/off), but it does all comps; for league-only - and let's face it, the Sherpa doesn't count - you'll need pen, paper and a couple of minutes.Worthy4England wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:02 amWhat's Charles and Morley's win %....I'd be surprised if they weren't both above 61%. (Bearing in mind Charles didn't come on until the end at Burton)....
Edit: Not a pop at Jones
https://www.soccerbase.com/teams/team.s ... bs=results
- Worthy4England
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Re: Stats
Was that a polite "fcuk off and work it out yourself?" BRB.Dave Sutton's barnet wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:12 amSoccerbase will quickly work them out for you via Player Filter (you can toggle sub apps on/off), but it does all comps; for league-only - and let's face it, the Sherpa doesn't count - you'll need pen, paper and a couple of minutes.Worthy4England wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:02 amWhat's Charles and Morley's win %....I'd be surprised if they weren't both above 61%. (Bearing in mind Charles didn't come on until the end at Burton)....
Edit: Not a pop at Jones
https://www.soccerbase.com/teams/team.s ... bs=results
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Re: Stats
BWFC_Insane wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:53 amAccording to twitter win % with Gethin Jones playing is 61.
Win % without is 14.
Most important player? I think it speaks for itself.
I genuinely think he’s our best defender. And clearly we struggle without him massively.
He's clearly very influencial within the group and there can be no doubt we're better with him than without but I don't think that statistic proves it.
From November through to the turn of the year we barely had a fit starting eleven let alone a squad.
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Re: Stats
Give a man a fish...(Speaking of which, some of us are trying to eat an egg and fishfinger butty )Worthy4England wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:14 amWas that a polite "fcuk off and work it out yourself?" BRB.Dave Sutton's barnet wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:12 amSoccerbase will quickly work them out for you via Player Filter (you can toggle sub apps on/off), but it does all comps; for league-only - and let's face it, the Sherpa doesn't count - you'll need pen, paper and a couple of minutes.Worthy4England wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:02 amWhat's Charles and Morley's win %....I'd be surprised if they weren't both above 61%. (Bearing in mind Charles didn't come on until the end at Burton)....
Edit: Not a pop at Jones
https://www.soccerbase.com/teams/team.s ... bs=results
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Re: Stats
Oh great. Two things I'm allergic to!
77% Charles. Morley missed Wycombe as he hadn't signed, and was sub at Burton, so he's about 87%
77% Charles. Morley missed Wycombe as he hadn't signed, and was sub at Burton, so he's about 87%
Re: Stats
Well yeah. It's interesting, but I don't think it's a coincidence that when we was out we also had no midfield!nicholaldo wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 10:18 amBWFC_Insane wrote: ↑Sun Feb 20, 2022 9:53 amAccording to twitter win % with Gethin Jones playing is 61.
Win % without is 14.
Most important player? I think it speaks for itself.
I genuinely think he’s our best defender. And clearly we struggle without him massively.
He's clearly very influencial within the group and there can be no doubt we're better with him than without but I don't think that statistic proves it.
From November through to the turn of the year we barely had a fit starting eleven let alone a squad.
In a world that has decided
That it's going to lose its mind
Be more kind, my friends, try to be more kind.
That it's going to lose its mind
Be more kind, my friends, try to be more kind.
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Re: Stats
To use Brommers' succinct descriptions:
PPDA = Passes Allowed Per Defensive Action - lower figure indicates higher level of pressing, higher figure indicates lower level of pressing
High Turnover = the number of sequences that start in open play and begin 40m or less from the opponent's goal
So (1) we are working very hard at the press, hardest in the division
(2) we still need to be better at it - and the most effective team at it comes to town this weekend, so let's have no brainfarts at the back, lads
PPDA = Passes Allowed Per Defensive Action - lower figure indicates higher level of pressing, higher figure indicates lower level of pressing
High Turnover = the number of sequences that start in open play and begin 40m or less from the opponent's goal
So (1) we are working very hard at the press, hardest in the division
(2) we still need to be better at it - and the most effective team at it comes to town this weekend, so let's have no brainfarts at the back, lads
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Re: Stats
So we're going to be having kittens every time Santos gets the ball off Trafford this weekend?
Reckon we'll see more long balls out to the flanks?
Reckon we'll see more long balls out to the flanks?
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Re: Stats
This is why I feel we need that ball winner who can be mobile round the pitch. We are good at pressing but don’t win the ball back enough.Dave Sutton's barnet wrote: ↑Thu Sep 15, 2022 10:53 amTo use Brommers' succinct descriptions:
PPDA = Passes Allowed Per Defensive Action - lower figure indicates higher level of pressing, higher figure indicates lower level of pressing
High Turnover = the number of sequences that start in open play and begin 40m or less from the opponent's goal
So (1) we are working very hard at the press, hardest in the division
(2) we still need to be better at it - and the most effective team at it comes to town this weekend, so let's have no brainfarts at the back, lads
And on a side note when we do we don’t make enough of it.
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