The Open

fatshaft · Post by **fatshaft** » Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:06 pm

Tips?

For me, the man in form is Fasth, Monty has been deadly from tee to green, putting has been ropey, and of course his Open record is shocking, so love to see it but can't.

Bjorn has also been playing well, and in the USA, Furyk has been looking good, and keeps the all in play.

You heard it here first

1. Fasth 40/1 (various)
2. Furyk 22/1 (various)
3. Bjorn 100/1 (Ladbrokes)

mummywhycantieatcrayons · Post by **mummywhycantieatcrayons** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 12:04 am

You're right in saying that Fasth has been playing well, but I don't remember seeing make the weekend at The Open since 2001, when he finished either second or third at Lytham, and that was a good weather week (i.e. not much wind). Anyway, I don't think Carnoustie will suit him, especially if the wind blows.

I think I'm going to get the train up to Carnoustie on Friday and follow Woods for the weekend. Anyone else going?

fatshaft · Post by **fatshaft** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 8:00 am

mummywhycantieatcrayons wrote: I think I'm going to get the train up to Carnoustie on Friday and follow Woods for the weekend. Anyone else going?

Nah, we had the OPen here last year, and back at Birkdale next year, I'll get my fix. Also going to be in Scotland during the Scottish PGA, so may down to Gleneagles to watch then.

communistworkethic · Post by **communistworkethic** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 8:08 am

Tiger by 4 shots

hisroyalgingerness · Post by **hisroyalgingerness** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 8:47 am

it's always hard to bet against Tiger - especially with pre-tournament odds

I would really like to see a european make a go of it. Rose has done well in a few high profile tournaments lately as has Donald and Casey. Really want one of them to step up this time up.

communistworkethic · Post by **communistworkethic** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 9:49 am

of the 3 I'd wager on Donald to be the first to get a major, but only when Bruce stops betting on him. As I said at teh US open, Rose has teh game but just not the mental toughness yet to win big. And casey, well I just think he's the "great white hope", a bit more hype than reality, though not as much hype as the ridiculously pantalooned one.

Bruce Rioja · Post by **Bruce Rioja** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 11:03 am

communistworkethic wrote:of the 3 I'd wager on Donald to be the first to get a major, but only when Bruce stops betting on him.

On ya go, fella, as this years kiss-off-death will be falling on Ernie Els. Actually, scrap the first bit, I'd better have a fiver on Donald as well as I don't want to miss out when he does actually do summat!

mummywhycantieatcrayons · Post by **mummywhycantieatcrayons** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 11:17 am

I'd like to see Donald do well, but his Open record is very poor.

fatshaft · Post by **fatshaft** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 11:37 am

mummywhycantieatcrayons wrote:You're right in saying that Fasth has been playing well, but I don't remember seeing make the weekend at The Open since 2001, when he finished either second or third at Lytham, and that was a good weather week (i.e. not much wind). Anyway, I don't think Carnoustie will suit him, especially if the wind blows.

I would say the same if it was someone else's pick tbh, but he's been so hot lately, he's definetly stepped it up a gear.

His driving accuracy is at a career high, as is his GIR at over 72%

He's 6th overall in the top 7 statistical categories, 15th in shot accuracy.

Overall, he's just been very consistent lately, including in the bad weather of the last couple of weeks, Ireland in particular was horrible. Wind is forecast to barely get out of single digit mph all week, so shouldn't be much of a factor.

As ever, it's very very hard to pick a golf winner.

mummywhycantieatcrayons · Post by **mummywhycantieatcrayons** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 11:50 am

fatshaft wrote:As ever, it's very very hard to pick a golf winner.

Which, to be fair, is why I very rarely bother trying, unless I'm saying the words 'Tiger Woods' to somebody.

I mean, I picked out Aaron Baddeley at the US Open, which looked like a great shout for a while, but how many back did he finish in the end?

fatshaft · Post by **fatshaft** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 11:53 am

mummywhycantieatcrayons wrote:
fatshaft wrote:As ever, it's very very hard to pick a golf winner.
Which, to be fair, is why I very rarely bother trying, unless I'm saying the words 'Tiger Woods' to somebody.

I mean, I picked out Aaron Baddeley at the US Open, which looked like a great shout for a while, but how many back did he finish in the end?

Well I consider myself "hot" at the moment, having picked Monty for the Irish at 25/1. Hope to keep it going. Did bust last week mind.

Dr Hotdog · Post by **Dr Hotdog** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 12:53 pm

Els was looking good at Loch Lomond, so did Mickelson. The rules them out then.

communistworkethic · Post by **communistworkethic** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:24 pm

mickelson was all over the place on the last day! I played half those holes better than he did!

James B · Post by **James B** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:36 pm

tempted on punts for woods (yeah boring i know) and stenson

but yeah, as has been said, golf such an unpredictably wonderful sport

carnoustie supposedly a lot fairer this time round after 99

hisroyalgingerness · Post by **hisroyalgingerness** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:48 pm

communistworkethic wrote:I played half those holes better than he did!

you weren't saying shit like that before you invented your handicap

communistworkethic · Post by **communistworkethic** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:49 pm

James B wrote:tempted on punts for woods (yeah boring i know) and stenson

but yeah, as has been said, golf such an unpredictably wonderful sport

carnoustie supposedly a lot fairer this time round after 99

apparently not very friendly though as the wind is blowing around 30mph off the sea.

Loved the comment in the sun.... "the 514yard 14th which would normally be a driver and a 9-iron for the world number 1" A driver and a 9iron????????

fatshaft · Post by **fatshaft** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 2:25 pm

communistworkethic wrote:
James B wrote:tempted on punts for woods (yeah boring i know) and stenson

but yeah, as has been said, golf such an unpredictably wonderful sport

carnoustie supposedly a lot fairer this time round after 99
apparently not very friendly though as the wind is blowing around 30mph off the sea.

Loved the comment in the sun.... "the 514yard 14th which would normally be a driver and a 9-iron for the world number 1" A driver and a 9iron????????

Aye, but the pros iron's are a couple of degrees strong mind

communistworkethic · Post by **communistworkethic** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 3:30 pm

yeah that'll be the difference

bw@bw · Post by **bw@bw** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 10:05 pm

Well I have been Luke Donald's biggest fan ever since the Walker Cup about 7 years ago - but I don't think this will be his week - I expect him to win a US open before ours.

Much as I would love to see one of ours win again, I have a sneaking feeling for Furyk.

Obviously betting against Woods is asking for trouble, but if Furyk is 22/1 then that is the best bet.

My other wild card would be Adam Scott - who could easily end up being Woods eventual succeesor as No 1 - but when I have seen him recently he has been just short of his best.

Sod Setanta - I used to enjoy the US golf on a Sunday night!!!

hisroyalgingerness · Post by **hisroyalgingerness** » Tue Jul 17, 2007 10:06 pm

Furyk is always a good each-way bet for sure

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